Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.4% vs Marleau 50.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 61.2%
Defensive zone
Marleau 51.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.2%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Bonino
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bonino
Marleau
Last 5: Bonino 4-1 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Bonino
Marleau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
0
Bonino
Marleau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
0
Bonino
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (691)
49.0% (437)
+1.2%
Power Play
61.5% (78)
70.6% (34)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (149)
53.7% (54)
-8.1%
On power play, Marleau has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Bonino is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Bonino shoots left. Marleau is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Bonino
Marleau
Home
52.7% (467)
55.1% (234)
Away
48.1% (451)
47.4% (291)
By Period
Bonino
Marleau
P1
48.9%
56.3%
P2
50.2%
48.5%
P3
51.7%
46.5%
OT
75.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |