Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.9%). Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Marleau 50.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Marleau 63.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 58.1%
Neutral zone
Marleau 52.4%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Bonino
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Bonino
Marleau
Last 10: Bonino 7-3 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
3
6
Bonino
Marleau
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
6
2
Bonino
Marleau
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
0
Bonino
Marleau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
50.3% (2,656)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
55.7% (332)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
50.7% (452)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Marleau is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Bonino
Marleau
Home
51.2% (5,507)
53.3% (1,735)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
48.5% (1,715)
By Period
Bonino
Marleau
P1
50.6%
52.2%
P2
48.5%
49.5%
P3
51.1%
50.7%
OT
45.7%
55.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |