Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 34 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 54-36 in 90 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 77.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 85.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 77.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Bonino
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
54
(90 meetings)
36
54
Bonino
Stastny
Last 10: Bonino 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
9
25
Bonino
Stastny
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
17
15
Bonino
Stastny
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
10
14
Bonino
Stastny
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.0%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
59.1% (1,994)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
52.9% (1,119)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Bonino
Stastny
Home
51.2% (5,507)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Bonino
Stastny
P1
50.6%
56.3%
P2
48.5%
55.4%
P3
51.1%
53.5%
OT
45.7%
62.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 11:55 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |