Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Stastny 55.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 83.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 61.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 60.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Bonino
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bonino
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
59.2% (370)
-7.5%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
40.9% (44)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
51.7% (58)
-7.8%
On power play, Bonino has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Bonino shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Bonino
Stastny
Home
48.2% (461)
57.7% (215)
Away
54.5% (464)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Bonino
Stastny
P1
54.1%
57.7%
P2
49.7%
54.2%
P3
50.7%
57.7%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |