Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bonino wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 47.6% vs Stastny 57.3% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 74.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 74.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 78.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Bonino
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Bonino
Stastny
Last 10: Bonino 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Bonino
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Bonino
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bonino
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (926)
57.6% (959)
-9.4%
Power Play
48.6% (109)
60.8% (125)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (210)
58.1% (74)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Bonino is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Bonino shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Bonino
Stastny
Home
47.8% (653)
55.9% (590)
Away
47.0% (592)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Bonino
Stastny
P1
45.9%
59.6%
P2
47.0%
59.0%
P3
49.4%
55.3%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |