Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.6% vs Stastny 54.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 53.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 85.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 62.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Bonino
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Bonino
Stastny
Last 10: Bonino 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Bonino
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
4
Bonino
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (836)
52.8% (657)
-0.2%
Power Play
51.8% (110)
61.0% (118)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (186)
61.1% (72)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Bonino is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Bonino shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Bonino
Stastny
Home
50.8% (547)
53.0% (464)
Away
52.6% (585)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Bonino
Stastny
P1
56.2%
47.9%
P2
48.9%
59.6%
P3
50.9%
54.9%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 11:55 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |