Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.1% vs Zacha 42.0% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 72.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 60.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Bonino
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Bonino
Zacha
Last 10: Bonino 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
3
Bonino
Zacha
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
6
Bonino
Zacha
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (917)
40.9% (399)
+7.8%
Power Play
53.2% (94)
39.5% (43)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (202)
26.7% (15)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (781).
Bonino shoots left. Zacha is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Bonino
Zacha
Home
51.0% (629)
41.4% (261)
Away
44.7% (584)
38.8% (196)
By Period
Bonino
Zacha
P1
49.0%
38.6%
P2
45.4%
44.4%
P3
50.2%
36.9%
OT
23.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 10:06 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 04:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |