Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.8% vs Zacha 54.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 80.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 78.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 59.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Bonino
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bonino
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Bonino
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Bonino
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (305)
53.9% (787)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (101)
44.3% (88)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Bonino shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Bonino
Zacha
Home
53.1% (177)
56.7% (538)
Away
49.3% (229)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Bonino
Zacha
P1
55.9%
52.6%
P2
49.6%
54.8%
P3
47.6%
56.8%
OT
100.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
42.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |