Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 50.5%). Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bonino wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Johnson 50.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 60.3%
Defensive zone
Johnson 57.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 53.9%
Result
Reese Johnson favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Bonino
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bonino
Johnson
Last 5: Bonino 4-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
51.0% (196)
+0.7%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
50.0% (2)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
42.9% (14)
+1.0%
On power play, Bonino has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Bonino shoots left. Johnson is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Bonino
Johnson
Home
48.2% (461)
48.8% (125)
Away
54.5% (464)
52.9% (87)
By Period
Bonino
Johnson
P1
54.1%
54.2%
P2
49.7%
44.2%
P3
50.7%
54.8%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |