Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 52.1%). Bonino wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Nash 51.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 60.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 56.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.8%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Bonino
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bonino
Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Bonino
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
54.1% (292)
-2.4%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
57.1% (7)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
45.9% (98)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Bonino shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Bonino
Nash
Home
48.2% (461)
56.3% (183)
Away
54.5% (464)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Bonino
Nash
P1
54.1%
58.9%
P2
49.7%
51.0%
P3
50.7%
46.5%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Riley Nash |