Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Thomas 51.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 27-9 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 79.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 51.2%
Neutral zone
Thomas 60.9%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Bonino
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
9
(36 meetings)
27
9
Bonino
Thomas
Last 10: Bonino 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Bonino
Thomas
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
12
0
Bonino
Thomas
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
9
3
Bonino
Thomas
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
51.1% (5,350)
-0.5%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
55.8% (921)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
49.9% (691)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Bonino shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Bonino
Thomas
Home
51.2% (5,507)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Bonino
Thomas
P1
50.6%
50.6%
P2
48.5%
52.9%
P3
51.1%
50.8%
OT
45.7%
59.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |