Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Bonino wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 65.1%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 50.4%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 52.5%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Bonino
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Bonino
Getzlaf
Last 9: Bonino 5-4 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
2
Bonino
Getzlaf
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
52.5% (772)
-0.8%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
60.8% (153)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
48.0% (100)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Bonino shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Bonino
Getzlaf
Home
48.2% (461)
56.0% (557)
Away
54.5% (464)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Bonino
Getzlaf
P1
54.1%
52.2%
P2
49.7%
53.0%
P3
50.7%
54.9%
OT
40.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |