Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Bonino wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Hartman 45.3% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 55.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 90.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 81.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Bonino
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Bonino
Hartman
Last 9: Bonino 8-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
0
Bonino
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
1
Bonino
Hartman
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
44.8% (936)
+6.9%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
49.4% (154)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
33.3% (54)
+10.6%
On power play, Bonino has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Bonino shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Bonino
Hartman
Home
48.2% (461)
47.4% (568)
Away
54.5% (464)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Bonino
Hartman
P1
54.1%
47.2%
P2
49.7%
43.4%
P3
50.7%
43.8%
OT
40.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |