Nick Bonino vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 80.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 72.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Bonino
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bonino
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Bonino 4-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Bonino
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
0
Bonino
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
0
Bonino
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (305)
51.0% (408)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (101)
35.9% (78)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Bonino shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Bonino
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.1% (177)
50.8% (258)
Away
49.3% (229)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Bonino
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.9%
51.6%
P2
49.6%
45.2%
P3
47.6%
47.6%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |