Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Monahan 51.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 45-39 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 64.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 77.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 56.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Bonino
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
45
(84 meetings)
39
45
Bonino
Monahan
Last 10: Bonino 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
10
21
Bonino
Monahan
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
20
12
Bonino
Monahan
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
9
12
Bonino
Monahan
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
51.1% (11,356)
-0.5%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
53.7% (2,580)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
46.0% (766)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Bonino
Monahan
Home
51.2% (5,507)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Bonino
Monahan
P1
50.6%
50.9%
P2
48.5%
51.7%
P3
51.1%
51.0%
OT
45.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |