Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Monahan 52.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 63.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 79.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 59.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Bonino
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Bonino
Monahan
Last 10: Bonino 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Bonino
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Bonino
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
51.5% (641)
+0.2%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
62.8% (129)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
33.3% (9)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Bonino shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Bonino
Monahan
Home
48.2% (461)
53.9% (362)
Away
54.5% (464)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Bonino
Monahan
P1
54.1%
48.0%
P2
49.7%
57.0%
P3
50.7%
54.1%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |