Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.1% vs Monahan 51.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 55.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 90.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 69.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Bonino
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Bonino
Monahan
Last 10: Bonino 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
7
Bonino
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Bonino
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (917)
50.2% (1,117)
-1.5%
Power Play
53.2% (94)
55.5% (283)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (202)
56.8% (44)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (781).
Bonino shoots left. Monahan is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Bonino
Monahan
Home
51.0% (629)
50.1% (731)
Away
44.7% (584)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Bonino
Monahan
P1
49.0%
51.3%
P2
45.4%
50.3%
P3
50.2%
53.1%
OT
23.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | OT | 02:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | OT | 01:59 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | OT | 01:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |