Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.9% vs Horcoff 50.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 57.0%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 62.8%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 60.1%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Bonino
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bonino
Horcoff
Last 7: Bonino 5-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Horcoff
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (837)
52.7% (347)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.7% (223)
40.0% (20)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (134)
36.0% (50)
+5.0%
On power play, Bonino has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Bonino shoots left. Horcoff is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Bonino
Horcoff
Home
50.7% (564)
57.0% (165)
Away
47.1% (630)
45.6% (252)
By Period
Bonino
Horcoff
P1
44.9%
46.8%
P2
50.1%
50.6%
P3
50.9%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2013 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 26, 2013 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |