Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.5%). Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 18-18 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 54.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 63.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 53.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Bonino
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
18
(36 meetings)
18
18
Bonino
Horcoff
Last 10: Bonino 6-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
4
Bonino
Horcoff
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
5
9
Bonino
Horcoff
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
8
5
Bonino
Horcoff
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
50.6% (3,133)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
51.4% (555)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
43.0% (567)
+1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Bonino
Horcoff
Home
51.2% (5,507)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Bonino
Horcoff
P1
50.6%
48.2%
P2
48.5%
49.5%
P3
51.1%
50.9%
OT
45.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 17, 2014 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 17, 2014 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 26, 2013 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 26, 2013 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |