Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bonino wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Crosby 52.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 51.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 89.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 74.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Bonino
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Bonino
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Bonino
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
52.5% (1,443)
-4.4%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
54.7% (369)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
55.9% (34)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Bonino shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Bonino
Crosby
Home
52.0% (244)
53.0% (931)
Away
43.7% (206)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Bonino
Crosby
P1
48.0%
50.3%
P2
42.9%
55.4%
P3
53.9%
53.3%
OT
66.7%
47.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |