Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bonino wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 52.3% vs Bozak 54.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 70.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 60.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 54.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Bonino
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bonino
Bozak
Last 7: Bonino 5-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
1
Bonino
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (717)
57.3% (483)
-5.3%
Power Play
62.7% (67)
57.5% (73)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (144)
42.3% (104)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Bonino is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Bonino shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Bonino
Bozak
Home
54.8% (429)
57.8% (332)
Away
50.7% (499)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Bonino
Bozak
P1
53.5%
52.7%
P2
49.5%
55.6%
P3
54.8%
56.7%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |