Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Bonino wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Bozak 46.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 55.4%
Defensive zone
Bozak 50.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 51.2%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Bonino
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bonino
Bozak
Last 5: Bonino 2-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Bonino
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
46.7% (338)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
50.0% (6)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
32.6% (43)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Bonino shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Bonino
Bozak
Home
48.2% (461)
47.9% (194)
Away
54.5% (464)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Bonino
Bozak
P1
54.1%
40.2%
P2
49.7%
51.4%
P3
50.7%
43.1%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |