Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Bonino wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 52.5% vs Bozak 55.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 64.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 65.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 63.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Bonino
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Bonino
Bozak
Last 10: Bonino 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
4
Bonino
Bozak
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
7
Bonino
Bozak
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Bonino
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (395)
58.3% (271)
-3.4%
Power Play
60.9% (110)
60.6% (33)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (186)
50.0% (78)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Bonino is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Bonino shoots left. Bozak is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Bonino
Bozak
Home
52.3% (363)
60.7% (206)
Away
53.4% (328)
52.3% (176)
By Period
Bonino
Bozak
P1
52.0%
57.3%
P2
56.1%
57.8%
P3
51.5%
56.2%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2021 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:47 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |