Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Bonino wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 68.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 50.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.7%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Bonino
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Bonino
Trocheck
Last 9: Bonino 5-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bonino
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bonino
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
54.3% (955)
-2.6%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
64.6% (96)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
51.0% (194)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Bonino shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Bonino
Trocheck
Home
48.2% (461)
58.3% (604)
Away
54.5% (464)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Bonino
Trocheck
P1
54.1%
53.9%
P2
49.7%
55.7%
P3
50.7%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |