Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 51.7%). Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 51.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 70.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 63.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Bonino
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Bonino
Karlsson
Last 10: Bonino 1-9 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
4
Bonino
Karlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Bonino
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Bonino
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
51.4% (735)
+0.3%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
63.5% (115)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
42.9% (133)
+1.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Bonino shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Bonino
Karlsson
Home
48.2% (461)
52.3% (524)
Away
54.5% (464)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Bonino
Karlsson
P1
54.1%
50.7%
P2
49.7%
51.4%
P3
50.7%
53.2%
OT
40.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:25 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |