Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.6%). Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (54% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Smith 50.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 50.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 51.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 50.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Bonino
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
15
(31 meetings)
16
15
Bonino
Smith
Last 10: Bonino 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
6
7
Bonino
Smith
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
6
5
Bonino
Smith
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
3
Bonino
Smith
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.0%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
51.2% (342)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
45.3% (985)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Bonino
Smith
Home
51.2% (5,507)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Bonino
Smith
P1
50.6%
49.9%
P2
48.5%
50.0%
P3
51.1%
51.9%
OT
45.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 8, 2018 | OT | 01:03 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Zack Smith |