Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.4% vs Cousins 47.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 63.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 62.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 62.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Nelson
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nelson
Cousins
Last 6: Nelson 4-2 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Cousins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Cousins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (347)
46.3% (227)
+3.3%
Power Play
20.8% (24)
40.0% (10)
-19.2%
On power play, Cousins has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Nelson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Nelson shoots left. Cousins is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Nelson
Cousins
Home
52.9% (210)
54.2% (107)
Away
42.1% (178)
39.2% (130)
By Period
Nelson
Cousins
P1
43.9%
51.2%
P2
48.1%
43.9%
P3
53.1%
43.7%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.9%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2016 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 10, 2016 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |