Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kastelic wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 55.9% vs Cousins 49.6% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 82.7%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 83.6%
Neutral zone
Cousins 52.1%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Kastelic
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kastelic
Cousins
Last 5: Kastelic 2-3 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
1
Kastelic
Cousins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
1
Kastelic
Cousins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
1
Kastelic
Cousins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (476)
49.3% (140)
+8.7%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
0.0% (1)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (106)
66.7% (3)
-15.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Kastelic shoots right. Cousins is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Cousins
Home
64.9% (265)
51.8% (83)
Away
50.5% (325)
45.9% (61)
By Period
Kastelic
Cousins
P1
58.5%
52.9%
P2
55.6%
35.6%
P3
56.8%
58.3%
Final 5 min
62.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |