Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cousins wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cousins 47.3% vs Stastny 54.2% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 72.0%
Defensive zone
Cousins 73.7%
Neutral zone
Cousins 72.1%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Cousins
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cousins
Stastny
Last 6: Cousins 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Cousins
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Cousins
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cousins
1
0
Cousins
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cousins
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (477)
52.8% (657)
-5.8%
Power Play
45.2% (42)
61.0% (118)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
61.1% (72)
-61.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Cousins is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Cousins shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Cousins
Stastny
Home
48.3% (234)
53.0% (464)
Away
45.5% (286)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Cousins
Stastny
P1
53.2%
47.9%
P2
43.5%
59.6%
P3
44.8%
54.9%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2018 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |