Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cousins wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cousins 45.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 78.3%
Defensive zone
Cousins 82.1%
Neutral zone
Cousins 77.8%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Cousins
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cousins
Stastny
Last 6: Cousins 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Cousins
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Cousins
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cousins
1
0
Cousins
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cousins
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (1,508)
54.6% (10,616)
-9.7%
Power Play
44.6% (101)
59.1% (1,994)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
52.9% (1,119)
-10.0%
On power play, Stastny has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Cousins is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Cousins shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Cousins
Stastny
Home
46.7% (809)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
43.0% (807)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Cousins
Stastny
P1
47.5%
56.3%
P2
43.6%
55.4%
P3
43.6%
53.5%
OT
0.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
47.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2018 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |