Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Cousins wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cousins 45.2% vs Monahan 51.3% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cousins 75.9%
Defensive zone
Cousins 69.6%
Neutral zone
Cousins 71.4%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Cousins
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Cousins
Monahan
Last 10: Cousins 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
5
Cousins
Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cousins
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Cousins
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cousins
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (1,508)
51.1% (11,356)
-6.2%
Power Play
44.6% (101)
53.7% (2,580)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
46.0% (766)
-3.1%
On power play, Monahan has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cousins is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Cousins shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Cousins
Monahan
Home
46.7% (809)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
43.0% (807)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Cousins
Monahan
P1
47.5%
50.9%
P2
43.6%
51.7%
P3
43.6%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |