Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Cousins wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cousins 45.2% vs Monahan 51.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cousins 77.4%
Defensive zone
Cousins 72.0%
Neutral zone
Cousins 73.2%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Cousins
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Cousins
Monahan
Last 10: Cousins 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
5
Cousins
Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cousins
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Cousins
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cousins
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (1,506)
51.1% (11,197)
-6.1%
Power Play
44.6% (101)
53.6% (2,558)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
46.0% (733)
-3.1%
On power play, Monahan has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cousins is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Cousins shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,187).
Home / Away
Cousins
Monahan
Home
46.8% (808)
52.3% (7,234)
Away
43.1% (806)
50.2% (7,254)
By Period
Cousins
Monahan
P1
47.6%
51.0%
P2
43.6%
51.6%
P3
43.7%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
53.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cousins
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.9%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |