Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cousins on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cousins wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cousins 43.8% vs Johnson 51.8% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 57.8%
Defensive zone
Johnson 68.8%
Neutral zone
Johnson 62.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Cousins
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cousins
Johnson
Last 7: Cousins 4-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
3
2
Cousins
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cousins
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cousins
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (202)
51.2% (825)
-11.6%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
56.9% (160)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.1% (137)
+48.9%
On penalty kill, Cousins has a +48.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Cousins is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Cousins shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Cousins
Johnson
Home
35.9% (117)
56.9% (583)
Away
47.0% (100)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Cousins
Johnson
P1
41.3%
55.1%
P2
47.3%
53.0%
P3
33.3%
48.8%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
41.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |