Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Cousins wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cousins 45.2% vs Johnson 49.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cousins 53.8%
Defensive zone
Johnson 52.8%
Neutral zone
Cousins 55.4%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Cousins
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Cousins
Johnson
Last 10: Cousins 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
4
Cousins
Johnson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cousins
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cousins
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cousins
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (1,506)
49.8% (5,396)
-4.8%
Power Play
44.6% (101)
54.6% (885)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
42.3% (707)
+0.6%
On power play, Johnson has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Cousins is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Cousins shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Cousins
Johnson
Home
46.8% (808)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
43.1% (806)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Cousins
Johnson
P1
47.6%
50.1%
P2
43.6%
50.6%
P3
43.7%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cousins
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 1 | 04:29 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |