Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Svechkov wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 39.8% vs Foligno 48.6% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 87.7%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 62.1%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 75.6%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Svechkov
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Svechkov
Foligno
Last 6: Svechkov 1-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
4
Svechkov
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Svechkov
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (318)
48.7% (495)
-11.9%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
56.9% (65)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
43.8% (144)
-43.8%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Svechkov is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Svechkov shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Foligno
Home
37.0% (181)
49.6% (359)
Away
36.4% (154)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Svechkov
Foligno
P1
35.1%
46.7%
P2
44.4%
52.7%
P3
30.8%
46.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
36.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |