Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 50.3%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Foligno wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.8% vs Suzuki 50.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 58.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 78.9%
Neutral zone
Foligno 54.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Foligno
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Foligno
Suzuki
Last 10: Foligno 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
8
Foligno
Suzuki
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
4
1
Foligno
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (261)
51.3% (904)
-2.3%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
49.8% (265)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
36.8% (57)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Foligno shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Foligno
Suzuki
Home
48.9% (178)
50.6% (603)
Away
50.6% (176)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Foligno
Suzuki
P1
40.4%
52.3%
P2
55.8%
47.5%
P3
51.2%
51.1%
OT
33.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |