Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 81.6%
Defensive zone
Foligno 67.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 63.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Foligno
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Foligno
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
1
Foligno
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Foligno
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (495)
52.4% (981)
-3.7%
Power Play
56.9% (65)
50.7% (304)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
36.4% (33)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Foligno shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Foligno
Suzuki
Home
49.6% (359)
53.2% (645)
Away
47.2% (345)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Foligno
Suzuki
P1
46.7%
48.9%
P2
52.7%
51.5%
P3
46.7%
54.9%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |