Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.2% vs Elias 40.5% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 87.5%
Defensive zone
Elias 79.2%
Neutral zone
Elias 82.8%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 80.7%
19.3%
80.7%
Foligno
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Foligno
Elias
Last 5: Foligno 0-5 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
3
Foligno
Elias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
0
2
Foligno
Elias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (227)
39.3% (550)
+7.8%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
50.0% (60)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (21)
27.0% (63)
+25.4%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Foligno shoots left. Elias is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Foligno
Elias
Home
45.7% (116)
39.1% (335)
Away
49.0% (147)
39.1% (338)
By Period
Foligno
Elias
P1
53.8%
39.0%
P2
50.0%
35.4%
P3
40.4%
44.4%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |