Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Elias 42.7% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 75.4%
Defensive zone
Elias 70.3%
Neutral zone
Elias 73.1%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Foligno
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Foligno
Elias
Last 7: Foligno 2-5 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
3
Foligno
Elias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Foligno
Elias
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,810)
42.3% (2,591)
+6.0%
Power Play
52.3% (730)
48.4% (405)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (455)
36.0% (367)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Foligno shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Foligno
Elias
Home
49.9% (2,013)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
47.2% (1,984)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Foligno
Elias
P1
47.6%
41.1%
P2
50.4%
43.1%
P3
48.3%
43.0%
OT
29.7%
43.2%
Final 5 min
52.3%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |