Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Foligno wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.8% vs Byfield 45.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 57.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 58.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 55.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Foligno
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Foligno
Byfield
Last 5: Foligno 3-2 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Byfield
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
2
Foligno
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (261)
46.5% (759)
+2.5%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
50.0% (58)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
35.1% (148)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Byfield is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Foligno
Byfield
Home
48.9% (178)
46.2% (442)
Away
50.6% (176)
44.0% (523)
By Period
Foligno
Byfield
P1
40.4%
44.1%
P2
55.8%
43.5%
P3
51.2%
47.7%
OT
33.3%
39.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |