Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Byfield 44.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 56.1%
Defensive zone
Foligno 50.2%
Neutral zone
Byfield 52.7%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Foligno
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Foligno
Byfield
Last 6: Foligno 3-3 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Byfield
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Foligno
Byfield
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (495)
44.5% (853)
+4.2%
Power Play
56.9% (65)
42.9% (21)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
38.2% (68)
+5.6%
On power play, Foligno has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Foligno shoots left. Byfield is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Foligno
Byfield
Home
49.6% (359)
43.8% (502)
Away
47.2% (345)
44.3% (440)
By Period
Foligno
Byfield
P1
46.7%
44.2%
P2
52.7%
43.0%
P3
46.7%
45.0%
OT
33.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
55.8%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |