Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Foligno wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Kesler 55.9% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 73.8%
Defensive zone
Kesler 52.5%
Neutral zone
Foligno 59.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Foligno
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Foligno
Kesler
Last 10: Foligno 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
6
1
Foligno
Kesler
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
7
Foligno
Kesler
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Foligno
Kesler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,810)
56.4% (8,095)
-8.1%
Power Play
52.3% (730)
60.7% (1,437)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (455)
50.5% (1,908)
-6.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Foligno shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Foligno
Kesler
Home
49.9% (2,013)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.2% (1,984)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Foligno
Kesler
P1
47.6%
56.5%
P2
50.4%
55.9%
P3
48.3%
56.1%
OT
29.7%
46.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |