Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.4% vs Aho 50.4% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Aho 71.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 75.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.9%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Foligno
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (215)
50.5% (647)
-1.2%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
54.2% (131)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
38.1% (42)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Foligno is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Foligno shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Foligno
Aho
Home
47.5% (158)
53.9% (445)
Away
51.1% (135)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Foligno
Aho
P1
42.7%
48.7%
P2
51.4%
51.4%
P3
51.9%
50.8%
OT
33.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
55.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%