Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 50.0%). Foligno wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.8% vs Aho 50.0% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Aho 72.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 72.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Foligno
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (261)
49.9% (851)
-0.9%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
53.5% (144)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
43.3% (60)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Foligno
Aho
Home
48.9% (178)
53.2% (554)
Away
50.6% (176)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Foligno
Aho
P1
40.4%
49.1%
P2
55.8%
50.8%
P3
51.2%
49.7%
OT
33.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
53.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%