Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 53.1%). Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Foligno wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Blueger 52.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 84.1%
Defensive zone
Blueger 79.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 53.3%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Foligno
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Foligno
Blueger
Last 9: Foligno 4-5 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Blueger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
3
Foligno
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Foligno
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
54.2% (590)
-0.8%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
71.4% (14)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
48.0% (177)
-7.4%
On power play, Blueger has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Foligno shoots left. Blueger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Foligno
Blueger
Home
57.3% (225)
53.2% (378)
Away
47.1% (210)
53.1% (403)
By Period
Foligno
Blueger
P1
53.0%
54.3%
P2
51.8%
56.7%
P3
52.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
53.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |