Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Foligno wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Brouwer 50.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 54.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 50.0%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Foligno
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Foligno
Brouwer
Last 6: Foligno 2-4 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Brouwer
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
1
3
Foligno
Brouwer
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,810)
50.3% (702)
-2.0%
Power Play
52.3% (730)
53.7% (551)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (455)
46.6% (412)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Foligno shoots left. Brouwer is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Foligno
Brouwer
Home
49.9% (2,013)
53.5% (854)
Away
47.2% (1,984)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Foligno
Brouwer
P1
47.6%
51.4%
P2
50.4%
49.3%
P3
48.3%
51.2%
OT
29.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |