Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Foligno wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.5% vs Johnson 49.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 51.8%
Defensive zone
Johnson 57.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.6%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Foligno
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Foligno
Johnson
Last 10: Foligno 6-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
7
5
Foligno
Johnson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
5
Foligno
Johnson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
4
3
Foligno
Johnson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,764)
49.8% (5,396)
-1.5%
Power Play
52.3% (723)
54.6% (885)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (447)
42.3% (707)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Foligno is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,469).
Foligno shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Foligno
Johnson
Home
49.8% (1,993)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
47.1% (1,943)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Foligno
Johnson
P1
47.9%
50.1%
P2
50.0%
50.6%
P3
48.4%
48.4%
OT
29.7%
42.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
48.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 04:28 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 4, 2017 | OT | 04:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |