Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Johnson 45.7% (+8.0%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 57.3%
Defensive zone
Johnson 63.0%
Neutral zone
Foligno 51.0%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Foligno
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
44.6% (285)
+8.8%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
46.7% (60)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
16.7% (6)
+23.9%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Foligno
Johnson
Home
57.3% (225)
50.8% (179)
Away
47.1% (210)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Foligno
Johnson
P1
53.0%
41.3%
P2
51.8%
41.8%
P3
52.6%
49.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%