Scouting Report
Evander Kane holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kane on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kane wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 51.8% vs Paul 51.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kane 66.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 77.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.1%
Result
Evander Kane favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Kane
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kane
Paul
Last 5: Kane 4-1 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
3
0
Kane
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Kane
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kane
1
0
Kane
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (123)
53.5% (312)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (68)
53.8% (26)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
29.4% (34)
+30.6%
On penalty kill, Kane has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kane is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Kane shoots left. Paul is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Kane
Paul
Home
50.5% (107)
45.8% (153)
Away
55.3% (94)
55.0% (220)
By Period
Kane
Paul
P1
50.7%
55.9%
P2
59.7%
48.9%
P3
48.5%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
52.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Evander Kane |