Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Okposo wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 47.6% vs Paul 53.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 53.1%
Defensive zone
Okposo 50.0%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Okposo
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Okposo
Paul
Last 8: Okposo 4-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Okposo
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
3
1
Okposo
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (276)
53.8% (753)
-5.2%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
58.9% (90)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
47.4% (78)
-10.4%
On power play, Paul has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Okposo is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Okposo shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Okposo
Paul
Home
47.4% (156)
54.2% (450)
Away
46.4% (194)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Okposo
Paul
P1
45.8%
58.2%
P2
50.3%
50.6%
P3
41.4%
52.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
46.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Nick Paul |