Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 82.2%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 55.3%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 57.6%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Paul
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Paul
Getzlaf
Last 10: Paul 7-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
4
3
Paul
Getzlaf
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
3
2
Paul
Getzlaf
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
6
2
Paul
Getzlaf
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
52.5% (772)
+0.5%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
60.8% (153)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (177)
48.0% (100)
-5.1%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Paul shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Paul
Getzlaf
Home
52.5% (516)
56.0% (557)
Away
47.1% (329)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Paul
Getzlaf
P1
47.6%
52.2%
P2
48.4%
53.0%
P3
54.5%
54.9%
OT
100.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Nick Paul |